Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.311729 0.363790 0.422074 0.492208 0.574384 0.667708 0.781868
2024-12-29 0.232639 0.301511 0.387246 0.502048 0.652143 0.842265 1.102271
2025-01-05 0.184297 0.256514 0.353152 0.492389 0.688708 0.956893 1.353271
2025-01-12 0.153376 0.226159 0.329432 0.487377 0.724240 1.068487 1.610893
2025-01-19 0.132762 0.205756 0.314704 0.490175 0.767818 1.193726 1.903455
2025-01-26 0.121879 0.197556 0.315789 0.515343 0.846843 1.380985 2.317787
2025-02-02 0.112461 0.189882 0.315975 0.538093 0.923888 1.574190 2.769693
2025-02-09 0.103144 0.180800 0.312204 0.552983 0.988768 1.754648 3.225552
2025-02-16 0.093702 0.170043 0.303878 0.558256 1.036625 1.910716 3.659479
2025-02-23 0.084435 0.158256 0.292018 0.555109 1.067933 2.039838 4.060523
2025-03-02 0.074789 0.144455 0.274634 0.538991 1.071867 2.116941 4.369680
2025-03-09 0.070344 0.139947 0.274010 0.554973 1.140415 2.328149 4.981832
2025-03-16 0.064522 0.132152 0.266354 0.556487 1.181158 2.491669 5.525591
2025-03-23 0.060243 0.126955 0.263266 0.567105 1.242730 2.707792 6.220837
2025-03-30 0.054450 0.117834 0.250922 0.556167 1.255702 2.820333 6.697983
2025-04-06 0.049799 0.110569 0.241580 0.550486 1.279447 2.959736 7.260058
2025-04-13 0.046362 0.105548 0.236475 0.553657 1.323937 3.152736 7.983503
2025-04-20 0.045099 0.105294 0.241952 0.582186 1.432754 3.513488 9.188811
2025-04-27 0.043684 0.104500 0.246073 0.607978 1.538497 3.881830 10.475759
2025-05-04 0.041775 0.102285 0.246567 0.624862 1.624118 4.211771 11.715223
2025-05-11 0.039369 0.098557 0.242954 0.630841 1.682240 4.478758 12.825257
2025-05-18 0.036651 0.093718 0.236025 0.627272 1.714380 4.681138 13.784980
2025-05-25 0.033435 0.087223 0.224159 0.608996 1.703682 4.764821 14.409341